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Crown Green Handicap

Peter Aherne

Team: Sea DogDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

605

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 4 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

6

Matches Played

0

Wins

6

Losses

0%

Win Rate

0.0

Avg Win Margin

15.8

Avg Loss Margin

0-2

Home Record

0-4

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
6 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/3/2025

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (6 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 6 matches

+14 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

14 May30 May2 Jul4 Jul30 Jul3 Jun-1371115

Gives 14 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current14
Win Percentage(35%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.35
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
0.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
15.8
score-1.00→contribution-0.15
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Opponent Strength(15%)
785
score-1.00→contribution-0.15
Weighted Score-0.765
Sample Size Confidence
80%(6/33 matches)
Rating694 → shrunk 755→ adjusted 605
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)605
Recency Blend8% (6 recent matches)
Final Rating605
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

0W6L6 matches·0% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Sea Dog2024–2025Division C6060%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/3/2025Simon DowningA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
7/30/2024Nancy BrabanderH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/4/2024Linda DarlingtonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/2/2024Philip ChildH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024Grzegorz OrzechA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision C
5/14/2024Beryl BellA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

6losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

0

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 100% win rate— steady
LLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Simon Downing0110%6/3/2025
Nancy Brabander0110%7/30/2024
Linda Darlington0110%7/4/2024
Philip Child0110%7/2/2024
Grzegorz Orzech0110%5/30/2024
Beryl Bell0110%5/14/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Grzegorz Orzech (-20)5/30/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 0%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7856 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
0-60% win rate
Division C0%
0W·6L·6 played

Debut

May 14, 2024

Latest

Jun 3, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

3.0 (6 total)

Seasons

20242025